Yesterday
This US bank makes a bold call on the $A
The Australian dollar dropped below US64¢ last week, yet the investment giant says it’s time to offload the strong US dollar instead.
- Cecile Lefort
This Month
- Opinion
- Interest rates
The markets have got it wrong (again) on rate cuts
Bond traders are fully priced for some relief by April 2025 thanks to a couple of surprising data points. But it’s always the coldest just before sunrise.
- Warren Hogan
US Fed keep options open for December rate cut
Financial markets are focused on the last US Federal Reserve meeting for the year, but officials are keeping their cards close to their chest.
- Craig Torres and Jonnelle Marte
How super funds are tapping the private credit boom
The $4 trillion sector is moving past classic unlisted assets to look at private debt, more creative private equity, social infrastructure and energy transition assets.
- Hannah Wootton
Auld named chief economist at NAB, replacing Oster
Sally Auld will be National Australia Bank’s next economics chief following the retirement of Alan Oster after 32 years in the role.
- Cecile Lefort
- Opinion
- Interest rates
The golden opportunity’ that investors are overlooking
Thanks to an inactive Reserve Bank, Australians have been blindsided by term deposit rates that are up near 5 per cent. They should instead be selling stocks and looking at bonds.
- Tim Hext
November
- Opinion
- Interest rates
Could the RBA cut interest rates in February?
The latest inflation readings imply that there is a possibility the Reserve Bank of Australia could start easing early in the new year.
- Christopher Joye
Here’s what the RBA might do after RBNZ’s latest cut
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand cut its benchmark to 4.25 per cent, bringing it under the Australian rate for the first time in a decade.
- Cecile Lefort
$A hits four-month low on Trump’s tariff pledge
The greenback soared on Tuesday after the US president-elect pledged hefty levies on its three major trading partners. That sent the Aussie to its weakest level since August.
- Cecile Lefort
Who is the most aggressive rate-cutter in the world?
Traders give a one-in-five chance the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will slash rates by a hefty 0.75 percentage points next week due to a worsening economy.
- Cecile Lefort
Why rate cuts are at risk from Labor’s $3.5b cost of living relief
More handouts to secure votes in next year’s election will derail any chance of an early rate cut, investors warn.
- Cecile Lefort
Fed still on track to cut rates in December: CPI view
The three-month annualised rate of consumer prices increased by almost 0.5 percentage point to 3.6pc in October. Economists say the pace won’t derail another rate cut.
- Timothy Moore
Interest rates on hold until 2026 not ‘inconceivable’
Expectations of inflationary tariffs from president-elect Donald Trump could result in no interest rate relief in Australia next year, warn analysts.
- Cecile Lefort
Central banks, traders brush off fears of Trump-led inflation spike
Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell said the US election would not impact Fed policy after it cut rates and flagged more to come.
- Cecile Lefort
Bond markets trim rate cut bets on RBA’s inflation woes
The chance of relief this year has diminished after the Reserve Bank of Australia warned that price hikes were still too high, forcing traders to scramble.
- Cecile Lefort
Economist Warren Hogan abandons RBA rate rise call
Warren Hogan at Judo was the only economist tipping a rate rise. He is now calling for a rate cut, but not until November 2025.
- Cecile Lefort
- Opinion
- Inflation
Heed the alarming writing on the wall left by bond bandits
Equity investors are slowly waking up to the risk of Donald Trump returning to the White House.
- Christopher Joye
October
Don’t get too comfortable, inflation is far from dead
Economists and investors warn that the price pressures that pushed up rates are not over, despite what the policymakers say.
- Cecile Lefort
- Opinion
- Investing
Trump, Harris’ differing policy visions will affect emerging markets
Resilient economies will be those that successfully position themselves between US and Chinese interests – potentially Romania, Serbia, Ivory Coast and the Dominican Republic.
- Cathy Hepworth
Stubborn inflation dashes market hopes for early rate cuts
Traders bet the RBA will not cut rates before May but cost-of-living relief ahead of elections could complicate the outlook.
- Cecile Lefort
- Opinion
- US election
Weird things are happening in the bond market
The US presidential election is shaping up to be the mother of all event risks, so you’d think the safest of all havens would be holding up. But it’s not.
- Marcus Ashworth
- Opinion
- Bonds
US election will drive long-term Aussie interest rates
Markets should keep a close eye on where yields land after Donald Trump or Kamla Harris claim victory on November 5.
- Christopher Joye
- Opinion
- Chanticleer
Inside the battle to rescue Rockpool
Andrew Lockhart, managing partner of Metrics Credit Partners, never intended to end up owning the restaurant group behind the famed eatery.
- James Thomson
Bonds markets ‘belted’ by rate cut jitters and Trump
US and Australian bond yields have climbed to three-month highs as investors dialled back the pace of interest rate cuts by the Reserve Bank and the Fed.
- Cecile Lefort
- Opinion
- Chanticleer
Bonds have gone weird. Viktor Shvets says investors have got it wrong
Bond yields are surging but Macquarie’s Viktor Shvets reckons traders are jumping at shadows.
- James Thomson
