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Interest rates

Today

Chinese Premier Li Qiang is still talking the talk on stimulus, but action is less certain.

China is still all talk on stimulus – for one good reason

China is again talking up its willingness to stimulate its spluttering economy. But action is unlikely to come until we know more about Donald Trump’s plans.

  • 1 min ago
  • James Thomson
Shayne Elliott has been the chief executive of ANZ since 2016. He will retire from the bank next year.

Shayne Elliott’s rented Corolla wasn’t enough for ANZ in the end

The career banker took the top job in 2016, unwinding a failed regional expansion and wowing shareholders. Those shareholders are a bit less wowed now.

  • Updated
  • Jonathan Shapiro
Fixed income investors are going to chase yield in 2025.

Fixed income brokers prepare for a ‘gold rush’

A surprise decision by regulators to phase out major bank hybrids has sparked a race to fill the void and meet a growing demand for income.

  • Jonathan Shapiro

Yesterday

Andrew Boak at Goldman Sachs is tipping an Australian rate cut in February.

This US bank makes a bold call on the $A

The Australian dollar dropped below US64¢ last week, yet the investment giant says it’s time to offload the strong US dollar instead.

  • Cecile Lefort
RBA governor Michele Bullock.

There’s a compelling case for RBA reducing interest rates on Tuesday

The board has created expectations of no rate cut at the final meeting of 2024. That’s the mirror of its 2021 error when it implied there would be no rise.

  • Ross Garnaut
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This Month

RBA governor Michele Bullock reconvenes the board this week.

The markets have got it wrong (again) on rate cuts

Bond traders are fully priced for some relief by April 2025 thanks to a couple of surprising data points. But it’s always the coldest just before sunrise.

  • Warren Hogan
Bargain hunters could find heavily discounted houses in some of the most prestigious coastal suburbs as prices fall further.

The best beachside suburbs to grab a bargain before the year ends

As buyer demand dries out, sellers in these sought-after coastal suburbs are becoming more motivated to sell.

  • Nila Sweeney
Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell.

Fed on track to cut rates: Wall Street’s view of jobs data

November’s payrolls report keeps open the door for a quarter point rate cut this month, though next week’s CPI data still needs to be cleared.

  • Timothy Moore
The figures, after accounting for payrolls swings related to a Boeing strike and hurricanes, support the Fed’s view that the job market remains solid.

US payrolls rebound, economy adds 227,000 jobs

The unemployment rate edged higher to 4.2 per cent, pointing to cooling demand for workers and confirming the case for a rate cut this month.

  • Augusta Saraiva

Australia’s economic problems have been brewing for years

We are in the most prolonged downturn since the 1991 recession. It’s time for a treasurer to do something about it.

  • John Kehoe
The bosses of BHP and Wesfarmers have called on Labor to overhaul the nation’s uncompetitive tax system and reverse changes to IR laws if it wants a private sector recovery.

You’re part of the growth problem, business leaders tell Chalmers

The bosses of BHP and Wesfarmers have called on Labor to overhaul the uncompetitive tax system and reverse changes to IR laws if it wants a private sector recovery.

  • Michael Read, Carrie LaFrenz, Elouise Fowler and John Kehoe
Argentina’s Diego Maradona, second left, is about to score his second goal against England in a World Cup quarter-final soccer match in Mexico City, Mexico.

Michele Bullock could be the Maradona of Australian central banking

The Reserve Bank governor is weaving through the inflation challenge with a hawkish comment here, a dovish quip there and a steady interest rate.

  • Paul Bloxham
US Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell speaks in New York.

Powell shrugs off Trump’s plan for a ‘shadow’ Fed chairman

The US central bank chief said his institution has “broad support” on Capitol Hill, and was confident of a solid relationship with the new Treasury secretary.

  • Colby Smith

Where price growth for apartments will outpace houses in 2025

Apartment price growth has lagged houses for decades, but this could change next year according to experts.

  • Nila Sweeney
A striking disconnect has emerged: RBA governor Michele Bullock and Treasurer Jim Chalmers.

The Reserve Bank is not smashing the jobs market

Claims the central bank is needlessly throwing vulnerable Australians out of work are not backed up by the statistics.

  • John Kehoe
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Public servant pay rises, energy bill subsidies, discounted transport fares and infrastructure spending pushed government spending to a fresh record last quarter.

Record government spending props up GDP

Public servant pay rises, energy bill subsidies, discounted transport fares and infrastructure spending pushed government spending to a fresh record last quarter.

  • Updated
  • Michael Read
AMP chief investment officer Anna Shelley.

Private markets to boom amid AI and net zero transition

The sector has emerged as a cornerstone of investment strategies as investors chase outsized returns and diversify their portfolios beyond traditional assets.

  • Michael Read

Home sellers chop asking prices amid glut in listings

Weaker buyer demand and an influx of stock have prompted some vendors to slash their asking prices.

  • Nila Sweeney
Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell says the US economy is in a good position but the jobs market may be turning.

US Fed keep options open for December rate cut

Financial markets are focused on the last US Federal Reserve meeting for the year, but officials are keeping their cards close to their chest.

  • Craig Torres and Jonnelle Marte
House prices

The PM no longer says Australians are better off. These charts show why

While some economic metrics have improved during the government’s first term, the one that really matters to voters – their purchasing power – has gone backwards.

  • Michael Read