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Trade wars

Today

The Chinese investigation comes as Washington has sought to slow China’s development of advanced chip technology.

China investigates Nvidia as tech war with US escalates

The State Administration for Market Regulation opened a probe into the chipmaker over suspicions that it broke anti-monopoly laws around a 2020 deal.

  • Amy Thomson

Yesterday

Andrew Boak at Goldman Sachs is tipping an Australian rate cut in February.

This US bank makes a bold call on the $A

The Australian dollar dropped below US64¢ last week, yet the investment giant says it’s time to offload the strong US dollar instead.

  • Cecile Lefort
Goldman Sachs’ Jan Hatzius.

Trump tariffs ‘not too disruptive’, Goldman’s top economist predicts

He expects the US president-elect’s slug on imports will be smaller than threatened, but warns they would hit growth hard if fully implemented.

  • John Kehoe

This Month

Chinese exporters hope to ship as much cargo as possible to the United States before Donald Trump enters the White House.

Australian rare earth miners warned on US-China trade war

Australian critical minerals companies reliant on China for processing or production could face more headwinds as the Beijing-Washington trade war heats up.

  • Matthew Cranston
ade Minister Don Farrell meets World Trade Organisation head Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala in Singapore.

How Australia plans to work around Donald Trump’s trade wars

Trade Minister Don Farrell wants to stitch together coalitions of like-minded countries, including bringing China into the fold, to keep free trade alive.

  • Andrew Tillett
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November

Jamieson Greer, then chief of staff to the trade representative, in an APEC trade meeting in Chile.

Trump’s ruthless new trade tsar is surprisingly ‘nice’

Jamieson Greer shares his boss’ tough stance on Beijing. But he is also known as a French-speaking, co-operative diplomat.

  • Matthew Cranston
Concerns about a US-China trade war have accelerated the Aussie dollar’s fall.

Trump trade war could smash Aussie dollar below US60¢

The Aussie hasn’t fallen below US60¢ – outside the pandemic – since 2003. But NAB has warned it “would not be surprised” to see that happen next year.

  • Alex Gluyas
European Central Bank president Christine Lagarde.

Why Trump’s trade war doesn’t faze this central bank chief

ECB president Christine Lagarde takes aim at claim that tariffs will “make America great again” – but calls for negotiation, not retaliation with the US.

  • Roula Khalaf, Patrick Jenkins and Olaf Storbeck
Donald Trump has fired the first salvo in his trade war with China.

Australia to escape Trump trade war – and may even benefit

Australia is unlikely to be hit with tariffs because of a US trade surplus, but it faces secondary impacts, says former US trade official Sarah Bianchi.

  • Matthew Cranston and Michael Read
President Donald Trump was more polite to Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau in 2019. New US tariffs will change that.

Trump’s tariff war won’t spare America’s allies

Donald Trump is promising 25 per cent tariffs on supposedly close allies like Canada and Mexico as well as China. Where does that leave Australia?

  • Jennifer Hewett
Engineering vehicles for export wait for transportation from a port in Yantai in eastern China’s Shandong province.

Trump’s tariffs mean crony capitalism is coming

The tariffs pledged are far higher than anything seen the first time around – and the potential for political favouritism will be far greater.

  • Paul Krugman
China’s ambassador to Australia, Xiao Qian.

China envoy’s plea to Albanese: Don’t let Trump come between us

Ambassador Xiao Qian also raised concerns over Australian moves to clamp down on foreign students during a wide-ranging press conference.

  • Andrew Tillett
Donald Trump has threatened major tariffs on its neighbours.

Chalmers seeks market calm after Trump pledges tariff hits

The president-elect has vowed to impose levies from the moment he is inaugurated, in retaliation for supposed illegal immigration and drug trafficking.

  • Updated
  • Andrew Tillett and Joshua Peach
Bridgewater Associates founder Ray Dalio.

Ray Dalio bets Trump steeling America for China war

The billionaire hedge fund manager said investors should “pay attention” to policy shifts that result in national security for energy and critical minerals.

  • Matthew Cranston
China’s President Xi Jinping and Prime Minister Anthony Albanese.

Trump picks put Australia in the crossfire with China

The frenzy around a reinvigorated Republican administration can only make the voter ride much bumpier for everyone, Anthony Albanese included.

  • Jennifer Hewett
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Apollo Global Management’s Marc Rowan is a contender for Treasury Secretary.

Apollo boss emerges as top contender for Treasury secretary

Donald Trump has tapped billionaires, celebrities and a private equity mastermind in his latest round of cabinet picks.

  • Updated
  • Matthew Cranston
Anthony Albanese and Chinese President Xi Jinping met on the sidelines of the G20 summit.

Xi got his message across, but calls to oppose protectionism are a bit rich

Australia is right to rail against Donald Trump’s tariffs, but we should also make our voice heard on Xi Jinping’s “China First” policies.

  • Richard McGregor

How Australia and Japan can keep global trade going

Middle powers can’t do much unilaterally but are large enough to mobilise coalitions for change to keep the world economy open and save the multilateral trading system.

  • Shiro Armstrong
Inflation-weary Americans aren’t going to give Donald Trump a long leash to wage a forever trade war under current circumstances.

Why Trump could lose the looming trade war

With inflation-weary Americans desperately seeking some relief, the next White House might not have the leverage it expects in tariff negotiations.

  • Jonathan Levin
Prime Minister Anthony Albanese met with China’s President Xi Jinping in the Great Hall of the People in Beijing in November 2023.

Albanese hopes to persuade China, US against a trade war

Ahead of world leaders’ meetings in South America, the PM says Australia’s middle-power status gives it influence with the two superpowers.

  • Phillip Coorey, Andrew Tillett and Tom Rabe