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GDP

Yesterday

RBA governor Michele Bullock.

There’s a compelling case for RBA reducing interest rates on Tuesday

The board has created expectations of no rate cut at the final meeting of 2024. That’s the mirror of its 2021 error when it implied there would be no rise.

  • Ross Garnaut

This Month

Meet our Business People of the Year | GDP grumpiness | CBA’s rare slip

This week on the Chanticleer podcast, James and AFR Editor-in-Chief James Chessell take you inside the AFR’s Business Person of the Year awards, examine business’ angst over the economy and look at an uncharacteristic political blunder by the Commonwealth Bank.

Charter Hall’s David Harrison said the opening of new CBD metro stations would mean fewer companies working out of North Sydney.

Australia is now an economic ‘problem child’: McKinsey

Business investment is at recession levels as the country’s productivity growth slumps to 30th out of 35 rich countries, says a new report.

  • John Kehoe and Michael Read
Federal Treasurer Jim Chalmers: Good reforming governments, like those from the 1980s to mid-2000s, were able to succeed.

Five reforms Chalmers must tackle to kickstart growth

Taking on big reforms may entail political risks, but the alternative is to continue on a path of genteel decline.

  • David Alexander
Wesfarmers chief executive Rob Scott says it’s time for action on productivity.

Wesfarmers CEO: ‘We can’t just wait around for rates to fall’

As Rob Scott says goodbye to an unsung hero of his own investment success, he says Australia’s tepid GDP growth can be a rallying point for the private sector.

  • James Thomson
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The bosses of BHP and Wesfarmers have called on Labor to overhaul the nation’s uncompetitive tax system and reverse changes to IR laws if it wants a private sector recovery.

You’re part of the growth problem, business leaders tell Chalmers

The bosses of BHP and Wesfarmers have called on Labor to overhaul the uncompetitive tax system and reverse changes to IR laws if it wants a private sector recovery.

  • Michael Read, Carrie LaFrenz, Elouise Fowler and John Kehoe

Chalmers admits business must pull Australia out of growth slump

Jim Chalmers says record government spending is stopping the economy from shrinking, but economists say it is delaying rate cuts and crowding out the private sector.

  • Updated
  • Michael Read
The nation’s productivity problem is increasingly looking like a long-term structural problem, not just a temporary post-pandemic trend.

No amount of lipstick on this pig can hide the economic stagnation

The national accounts make grim reading and are indisputably worse than expected.

  • Updated
  • John Kehoe
Neither leader seems interested in the 20-year picture on the economy.

This is the problem that CEOs have with GDP

Another tepid set of growth numbers will heap more pressure on the government. But it’s the next 20 years that both sides of politics need to think about.

  • Updated
  • James Thomson
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GDP misses forecasts; Chaos in South Korea; Forrest’s female fund

Read everything that’s happened in the news so far today.

Public servant pay rises, energy bill subsidies, discounted transport fares and infrastructure spending pushed government spending to a fresh record last quarter.

Record government spending props up GDP

Public servant pay rises, energy bill subsidies, discounted transport fares and infrastructure spending pushed government spending to a fresh record last quarter.

  • Updated
  • Michael Read

October

The US economy is growing ahead of the presidential election next week.

US economy expands on the back of consumer resilience

Inflation-adjusted GDP grew by 2.8 per cent while consumer spending advanced 3.7 per cent, the most since early 2023.

  • Matthew Boesler

September

The US Steel plant in Clairton, Pennsylvania.

US economy proving still more resilient than expected

GDP expanded at an unrevised 3.0 per cent annualised rate in the June quarter, while it was updated higher to 1.6 per cent for the first three months of 2024.

  • Updated
  • Reuters

Government-funded jobs are booming but we’re not getting bang for buck

Productivity across the public service and government-funded industries like health and education has crashed to an 18-year low.

  • Michael Read
Cuts to overseas students come as major commodity exports get hit by dwindling prices.

Capping overseas students will trigger recession: economists

Australia’s commodities surge is over. Yet, the booming $50bn education sector is the subject of ferocious cuts with dire consequences.

  • Julie Hare
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Labor has left the door open to doling out extra cost of living assistance, even as economists warn the rapid growth in spending is fuelling inflation.

No let-up in government’s spending splurge

Labor has left the door open to doling out extra cost of living assistance, even as economists warn that the rapid growth in spending is fuelling inflation.

  • Michael Read
Rachel Lake says more customers are choosing Australian sapphires or lab-grown diamonds amid cost of living pressures.

Real diamonds can’t cut it as cost crunch hits lovebirds

The cost of engagement rings can jump by hundreds of dollars in a week, says jeweller Rachel Lake, leading to greater interest in sapphires and lab-grown diamonds.

  • Gus McCubbing
Jim Chalmers, Michele Bullock and the inflation dragon.

Treasurer v the RBA: Why Chalmers and Bullock are both right

Jim Chalmers says the economy is getting smashed by high rates, but it’s still running too hot for the RBA. The answer is simple: productivity.

  • Michael Stutchbury

Record government spending prolonging RBA’s inflation fight

Treasurer Jim Chalmers says the economy would have gone backwards without government spending, but economists warn the outlays are making the RBA’s job harder.

  • Updated
  • Michael Read
Consumer and wages data signal the economy is growing only slowly.

Consumer slowdown hits profits and GDP growth

Growth in profits and wages is slowing sharply across consumer-facing sectors such as retail and construction, raising expectations for sluggish June GDP figures.

  • Michael Read