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Federal Reserve

Yesterday

President-elect Donald Trump in France on Sunday AEDT.

Trump says he’s unlikely to fire Jerome Powell

In a TV interview, the president-elect also said he would pardon the January 6 Capitol rioters on day one, while vowing to lock up his political foes.

  • Peter Baker

This Month

Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell.

Fed on track to cut rates: Wall Street’s view of jobs data

November’s payrolls report keeps open the door for a quarter point rate cut this month, though next week’s CPI data still needs to be cleared.

  • Timothy Moore
The figures, after accounting for payrolls swings related to a Boeing strike and hurricanes, support the Fed’s view that the job market remains solid.

US payrolls rebound, economy adds 227,000 jobs

The unemployment rate edged higher to 4.2 per cent, pointing to cooling demand for workers and confirming the case for a rate cut this month.

  • Augusta Saraiva
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Victoria’s asset sale; MinRes’ gag request; Wesfarmers’ rates alert

Read everything that’s happened in the news so far today.

US Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell speaks in New York.

Powell shrugs off Trump’s plan for a ‘shadow’ Fed chairman

The US central bank chief said his institution has “broad support” on Capitol Hill, and was confident of a solid relationship with the new Treasury secretary.

  • Colby Smith
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Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell says the US economy is in a good position but the jobs market may be turning.

US Fed keep options open for December rate cut

Financial markets are focused on the last US Federal Reserve meeting for the year, but officials are keeping their cards close to their chest.

  • Craig Torres and Jonnelle Marte
Donald Trump may be the worst possible person to guide America through the turmoil that’s probably ahead.

The new world order looks like mercantilism

The chaotic politics of the past 16 years masked the steady development of a new economic order, but trade and the economy aren’t zero-sum games.

  • John Authers
People walking past a row of ATMs belonging to the four big banks.

The golden opportunity’ that investors are overlooking

Thanks to an inactive Reserve Bank, Australians have been blindsided by term deposit rates that are up near 5 per cent. They should instead be selling stocks and looking at bonds.

  • Updated
  • Tim Hext

November

European Central Bank president Christine Lagarde.

Why Trump’s trade war doesn’t faze this central bank chief

ECB president Christine Lagarde takes aim at claim that tariffs will “make America great again” – but calls for negotiation, not retaliation with the US.

  • Roula Khalaf, Patrick Jenkins and Olaf Storbeck
The GDP report showed the Fed’s preferred metric — the personal consumption expenditures price index — rose at an unrevised 1.5 per cent annualised rate in the third quarter.

Fed’s favoured inflation metric edges up, GDP steady

The data bolsters comments by many Fed officials that there’s no rush to cut rates so long as the labour market remains healthy and the economy strong.

  • Updated
  • Augusta Saraiva and Matthew Boesler
Trump’s tariff announcement wiped billions from the Australian sharemarket.

Three ways to tackle Trump’s looming tariff war

Canada, Mexico and China have options to avoid a trade war with the US president-elect. Here’s what they could do.

  • Alan Beattie
Former president Donald Trump and Tesla and X chief executive Elon Musk.

Inside Musk’s first bitter fight with Trump

Scott Bessent prevailed as the top nominee for Treasury secretary after a fierce battle for influence inside the president-elect’s court.

  • James Fontanella-Khan, Antoine Gara and Colby Smith
A CarMax salesman shows a used Tesla Model Y electric vehicle (EV) to a customer at a dealership in Fremont, California.

US October retail sales affirm strength of economy

Rate cut bets were pared after a better-than-expected 0.4 per cent rise in retail sales last month and an upwardly revised 0.8 per cent rise in September.

  • Lucia Mutikani

Powell says no need to rush rate cuts

 Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell said the strong US economy has given central bankers room to lower interest rates at a careful pace.

  • Chrisopher Rugaber
The path to cutting interest rates is narrowing for Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell.

Fed still on track to cut rates in December: CPI view

The three-month annualised rate of consumer prices increased by almost 0.5 percentage point to 3.6pc in October. Economists say the pace won’t derail another rate cut.

  • Timothy Moore
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A shopper in New York. “Elevated inflation and rising rates in the United States could negatively affect domestic economic activity,” the Fed noted.

US inflation stays firm for third month with 0.3pc core CPI gain

The figures, along with strong consumer spending and economic growth, will keep Fed officials cautious as they debate how quickly to reduce borrowing costs.

  • Molly Smith
Donald Trump with his sons: The US dollar is among the biggest beneficiaries of the president-elect’s sweeping victory.

US dollar surge to wreak havoc on $A, commodities

The powerful rally in the greenback since the US election has prompted strategists to rapidly adjust currency forecasts as investors flee metals and the Aussie dollar.

  • Alex Gluyas
Jerome Powell.

Powell doesn’t fear Trump, and yet can’t contain him

If the president-elect’s policy initiatives prove modest, the Federal Reserve’s delay in responding won’t matter too much.

  • Bill Dudley
The US election result enters our political debate

Australia must learn the right lessons from US election

Inflation cut across all other issues for US voters, regardless of race, gender and age. What should that be telling us?

  • The AFR View
US Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell has given Reserve Bank of Australia governor Michele Bullock plenty to think about.

Central banks, traders brush off fears of Trump-led inflation spike

Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell said the US election would not impact Fed policy after it cut rates and flagged more to come.

  • Cecile Lefort